SHR — Swiss Human Resources
Research 2024-07-26 Decision-making Zurich

Why are our forecasts too confident?

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Why are our forecasts too confident? — SHR, Zurich
Why are our forecasts too confident? — SHR, Zurich

Why are our forecasts too confident? — what studies show, and what they don't.

The research

Study: Moore & Healy (2008, Psychological Review)

The limit

Single context; replicate before generalising. (our executive and employee training programmes)

Why are our forecasts too confident? — SHR, Zurich — Zurich
Why are our forecasts too confident? — SHR, Zurich — Zurich

Practical check in Zurich

Define one measurable indicator, test for a month, compare. To go further: explore the Decision-making training in Zurich, or browse our executive and employee training programmes in Switzerland.

In pictures: Decision-making in Zurich

Decision-making training in Zurich — in practice
Decision-making training in Zurich — in practice
Decision-making training in Zurich — hands-on workshop
Decision-making training in Zurich — hands-on workshop
Decision-making training in Zurich — on the ground
Decision-making training in Zurich — on the ground

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